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Tech

AI, launches, regulations

6 articles

A split image showing Boston Celtics players Jayson Tatum and Derrick White on one side, and Oklahoma City Thunder players Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren on the other, with a basketball court background.
TechMar 25, 20263 min read

Kalshi Market Scores Zero: A Basket of Impossibility, Not Wagers

A Kalshi prediction market, bafflingly categorized under 'tech,' stands at a unanimous 0% chance for a complex set of NBA player achievements, with zero trading activity.

A split image showing Kevin Durant and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in action on a basketball court, with a younger high school basketball player like Ace Bailey in a separate panel, symbolizing the disparate elements of the prediction market.
TechMar 25, 20263 min read

A Zero-Sum Game: Kalshi Market on NBA Stars and a High School Prospect Goes Untraded

A peculiar Kalshi prediction market, pooling NBA scoring feats with a high school talent, registers a 0% probability and no trading activity, signaling fundamental flaws.

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 59%
TechMar 16, 20261 min read

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 59%

The market is leaning Yes with 45,213 contracts traded. Here's what the data says.

Odds:Yes 59%No 41%
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 29%
TechMar 16, 20261 min read

Courts consider Apple a monopoly?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 29%

The market is heavily favoring No with 46,648 contracts traded. Here's what the data says.

Odds:Yes 29%No 71%
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 68%
TechMar 16, 20261 min read

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 68%

The market is heavily favoring Yes with 51,859 contracts traded. Here's what the data says.

Odds:Yes 68%No 32%
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 29%
TechMar 16, 20261 min read

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 29%

The market is heavily favoring No with 54,193 contracts traded. Here's what the data says.

Odds:Yes 29%No 71%