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4 articles

A hockey puck flying into a net during a Stanley Cup game, with a blurred Canadian flag in the background
SportsMar 26, 20263 min read

Canada's Stanley Cup Drought: Is 62% 'YES' Too Optimistic?

Kalshi traders are giving a Canadian team a 62% chance to win the Stanley Cup by 2031, and I can't help but wonder if that's a bit high.

Odds:Yes 62%No 38%
Sports
SportsMar 26, 20263 min read

Karl Bushby's Finish Line: Is 88% YES Too Confident?

I've been watching the market for Karl Bushby's world walk, and the crowd is giving him an 88% chance to finish by 2030. My gut says that might be a little optimistic.

Odds:Yes 88%No 12%
Sports
SportsMar 26, 20263 min read

LeBron Ownership: Why 13% Feels Way Too Low

Kalshi traders give LeBron James just a 13% chance of being a majority owner of a pro men's basketball team before 2030, and frankly, I'm scratching my head.

Odds:Yes 5%No 95%
An image of Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, possibly with a basketball court set up, lit by spotlights, hinting at an NBA team's future return.
SportsMar 26, 20264 min read

Seattle NBA: Is 83% YES Too Optimistic for a 2030 Return?

Kalshi traders are giving a Seattle NBA return an 83% chance by 2030, but I'm looking at what NBA Commissioner Adam Silver is actually saying.

Odds:Yes 78%No 22%