Making sense of what the world is betting onTrade on Kalshi →
KalshiRadarKalshiRadar

🏆Sports

Championships, records

7 articles

An overhead shot of Max Verstappen driving his Red Bull F1 car on a race track, with a slightly blurred background to emphasize speed.
SportsMay 9, 20264 min read

Verstappen's Shock Retirement? Kalshi Says 51% Chance Before 2028

I'm watching a fascinating Kalshi market where bettors believe Max Verstappen has a 51% chance of retiring before the 2028 F1 season.

Odds:Yes 51%No 49%
Max Verstappen in his Red Bull F1 car, helmet on, looking determined on the race track
SportsApr 19, 20263 min read

Max Verstappen's Retirement: Why 21% YES Isn't as Crazy as It Sounds

A Kalshi market is betting on Max Verstappen's early retirement, and while the odds are long, I'm genuinely surprised by how much chatter it's generating.

Odds:Yes 19%No 81%
Image for NBA Expansion: 96% Says Yes Before 2030, But Is It a Lock?
SportsApr 11, 20263 min read

NBA Expansion: 96% Says Yes Before 2030, But Is It a Lock?

A Kalshi market shows an overwhelming 96% chance of NBA expansion by 2030, and I'm here to tell you why the market is so sure, and if I agree.

Odds:Yes 89%No 11%
A hockey puck flying into a net during a Stanley Cup game, with a blurred Canadian flag in the background
SportsMar 26, 20263 min read

Canada's Stanley Cup Drought: Is 62% 'YES' Too Optimistic?

Kalshi traders are giving a Canadian team a 62% chance to win the Stanley Cup by 2031, and I can't help but wonder if that's a bit high.

Odds:Yes 62%No 38%
A lone figure, Karl Bushby, walking with a backpack on a long, winding road or trail, possibly in a remote landscape, with the horizon stretching far into the distance, symbolizing his epic world walk.
SportsMar 26, 20263 min read

Karl Bushby's Finish Line: Is 88% YES Too Confident?

I've been watching the market for Karl Bushby's world walk, and the crowd is giving him an 88% chance to finish by 2030. My gut says that might be a little optimistic.

Odds:Yes 88%No 12%
LeBron James in a suit, looking determined, with a basketball arena in the background, subtly hinting at ownership aspirations.
SportsMar 26, 20263 min read

LeBron Ownership: Why 13% Feels Way Too Low

Kalshi traders give LeBron James just a 13% chance of being a majority owner of a pro men's basketball team before 2030, and frankly, I'm scratching my head.

Odds:Yes 5%No 95%
An image of Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, possibly with a basketball court set up, lit by spotlights, hinting at an NBA team's future return.
SportsMar 26, 20264 min read

Seattle NBA: Is 83% YES Too Optimistic for a 2030 Return?

Kalshi traders are giving a Seattle NBA return an 83% chance by 2030, but I'm looking at what NBA Commissioner Adam Silver is actually saying.

Odds:Yes 78%No 22%