Courts consider Apple a monopoly?
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Kalshi traders are pricing "Courts consider Apple a monopoly?" at 29% — only 29% likely according to the collective wisdom of real money on the line.
## The Numbers
- **Yes Price:** 29¢ ($0.29)
- **No Price:** 67¢ ($0.67)
- **Volume:** 46,648 contracts
- **Open Interest:** 7,785
- **Closes:** January 1, 2030
The market is deeply skeptical. Contrarians see opportunity, but the weight of money says unlikely.
## What Whales Are Doing
Large-position traders have been building No positions over the past 48 hours. The most notable recent trade: a 8,992-contract No buy that moved the price 3 cents in a single tick.
Whale activity in tech has been elevated this week. Smart money moves early — by the time retail catches up, the price has already adjusted.
## The Trade
At 29¢, Yes is a long-shot with massive upside. A $100 position pays $244 if it hits. The No side at 67¢ is the safe play with capped upside.
Market closes January 1, 2030. Set your limits, size your position, and let the market come to you.
*Prices reflect Kalshi market data at time of publication. Trade on Kalshi at your own risk.*
