Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 68%
KalshiRadar·Mar 16, 2026
Live Market Odds
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Yes
68¢
No
31¢
52.2K vol
Kalshi traders are pricing "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?" at 68% — that's 68% likely according to the collective wisdom of real money on the line.
## The Numbers
- **Yes Price:** 68¢ ($0.68)
- **No Price:** 31¢ ($0.31)
- **Volume:** 51,859 contracts
- **Open Interest:** 27,418
- **Closes:** January 1, 2031
The market is tilted but not decisive. Meaningful uncertainty remains.
## What Whales Are Doing
Large-position traders have been accumulating Yes positions over the past 48 hours. The most notable recent trade: a 6,547-contract Yes buy that moved the price 2 cents in a single tick.
Whale activity in tech has been steady this week. Smart money moves early — by the time retail catches up, the price has already adjusted.
## The Trade
At 68¢, Yes is expensive but the market is telling you something. If you agree, there's still 32¢ of upside. If you think it's overpriced, the No side offers leverage on a reversal.
Market closes January 1, 2031. Set your limits, size your position, and let the market come to you.
*Prices reflect Kalshi market data at time of publication. Trade on Kalshi at your own risk.*