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Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 68%

KalshiRadar·Mar 16, 2026
Live Market Odds

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Yes
68¢
No
31¢
52.2K vol
Trade on Kalshi
Kalshi traders are pricing "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?" at 68% — that's 68% likely according to the collective wisdom of real money on the line. ## The Numbers - **Yes Price:** 68¢ ($0.68) - **No Price:** 31¢ ($0.31) - **Volume:** 51,859 contracts - **Open Interest:** 27,418 - **Closes:** January 1, 2031 The market is tilted but not decisive. Meaningful uncertainty remains. ## What Whales Are Doing Large-position traders have been accumulating Yes positions over the past 48 hours. The most notable recent trade: a 6,547-contract Yes buy that moved the price 2 cents in a single tick. Whale activity in tech has been steady this week. Smart money moves early — by the time retail catches up, the price has already adjusted. ## The Trade At 68¢, Yes is expensive but the market is telling you something. If you agree, there's still 32¢ of upside. If you think it's overpriced, the No side offers leverage on a reversal. Market closes January 1, 2031. Set your limits, size your position, and let the market come to you. *Prices reflect Kalshi market data at time of publication. Trade on Kalshi at your own risk.*

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