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Courts consider Apple a monopoly?: Kalshi Traders Price It at 29%

KalshiRadar·Mar 16, 2026
Live Market Odds

Courts consider Apple a monopoly?

Yes
29¢
No
66¢
46.7K vol
Trade on Kalshi
Kalshi traders are pricing "Courts consider Apple a monopoly?" at 29% — only 29% likely according to the collective wisdom of real money on the line. ## The Numbers - **Yes Price:** 29¢ ($0.29) - **No Price:** 67¢ ($0.67) - **Volume:** 46,648 contracts - **Open Interest:** 7,785 - **Closes:** January 1, 2030 The market is deeply skeptical. Contrarians see opportunity, but the weight of money says unlikely. ## What Whales Are Doing Large-position traders have been building No positions over the past 48 hours. The most notable recent trade: a 8,992-contract No buy that moved the price 3 cents in a single tick. Whale activity in tech has been elevated this week. Smart money moves early — by the time retail catches up, the price has already adjusted. ## The Trade At 29¢, Yes is a long-shot with massive upside. A $100 position pays $244 if it hits. The No side at 67¢ is the safe play with capped upside. Market closes January 1, 2030. Set your limits, size your position, and let the market come to you. *Prices reflect Kalshi market data at time of publication. Trade on Kalshi at your own risk.*

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